Breaking: Naira Crashes With Utmost Disregard To Dollar

• The local currency had strengthened by about 7.8% within one week in September at the black market, as the CBN introduced some measures targeted at exporters and importers.
• This is to boost the supply of dollars in the foreign exchange market and reduce the high demand for forex by traders.
• However, the gains appear to have been completely erased with the recent crash of the exchange rate.
• The CBN has sold over $1 billion to BDCs since they resumed forex sales on Monday, September 7, 2020.
• This was expected to inject more liquidity into the retail end of the foreign exchange market and discourage hoarding and speculation.
• However, the exchange rate against the dollar has remained volatile after the initial gains made, following the CBN’s resumption of sales of dollars to the BDCs.
• Despite the CBN’s intervention, the huge demand backlog by manufacturers and foreign investors still puts pressure and creates a volatile situation in the foreign exchange market.

NAFEX

The Naira depreciated against the dollar at the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window on Tuesday, closing at N393.50/$1.

• This represents a N1.50 drop when compared to the N392/$1 that it exchanged for on Thursday, December 24.
• The opening indicative rate was N392.86 to a dollar on Tuesday. This represents a 71 kobo drop when compared to the N392.15 that was recorded on last week Thursday.
• The N396 to a dollar was the highest rate during intra-day trading before, it still closed at N393.50 to a dollar. It also sold for as low as N385/$1 during intra-day trading.
• Forex turnover: Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window increased by 31.2% on Tuesday, December 29, 2020.
• According to the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ, forex turnover rose from $98.47 million on Thursday, December 24, 2020, to $129.19 million on Tuesday, December 29, 2020.
• The CBN is still struggling to clear the backlog of foreign exchange demand, especially by foreign investors wishing to repatriate their funds.
• The drop in dollar supply after the previous trading day’s sharp increase reinforces the volatility of the foreign exchange market. The supply of dollars has been on a decline for months due to low oil prices and the absence of foreign capital inflow into the country.
• The average daily forex sale for last week was about $169.93 million, which represents a huge increase from the $34.5 million that was recorded the previous week.
• Total forex trading at the NAFEX window in the month of September was about $1.98 billion, compared to $843.97 million in August.
• The exchange rate is still being affected by low oil prices, dollar scarcity, a backlog of forex demand, and a shaky economy that has been hit by the coronavirus pandemic.
• Some members of MPC of the CBN had expressed serious concerns over the increasing demand pressure in the country’s foreign exchange market. This is an obligation of manufacturers to their foreign suppliers, which continues to increase in the face of dollar shortages.